You can run the election as a probabilistic simulation in your browser and see who wins.
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Caution State-level polling data this far in advance of November is of limited predictive value. Therefore, these simulations may bear no resemblance to how the election will actually play out.Did you know that there are over two quadrillion (15 zeroes) ways that the U.S. map can be colored red and blue?
1.99 quadrillion of those are extremely unlikely, however.
Newest and best
An older, rival site: Sam Wang at Princeton
Electoral Maps
Polls
Markets
This probably lists every electoral-vote related site in the world.
I found that here.
Update: An alternative visualization of the same state poll data collated by electoral-vote.com is at EVStrength.
Update 20080-9-17: Another view is provided by ignoring the polls directly and using Intrade prices as data, instead. Rather than being subject to speculative swings as you might expect, the dats seems to be steadier and the numbers check out better. It's worth cross-checking: electoralmap.net
3 comments:
If you want the progression of polls over time and the latest updated polls - This widget will give you just that:
http://www.youcalc.com/apps/1218019592041
... and its easy to put on your blog!
Make a difference, keep on voting!
Thanks! That is interesting. Perhaps it is the only pie graph of the election I have seen. I think I like maps better than the conversion into a pie graph and the bar graphs, though.
…and I actually like reading the commentary on electoral-vote.com and fivethirtyeight.
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